Following the IDF withdrawal from Lebanon in the year 2000 and its redeployment along the Blue Line, in accordance with UN resolutions, Hezbollah maintained an aggressive and provocative approach. This approach included attempted abductions of soldiers as well as terrorist attack on Israeli civilians in the north. On July 12th, 2006, a squad of Hezbollah terrorists infiltrated Israeli territory and attacked an IDF patrol. During the attack and the following rescue attempt of two kidnapped soldiers, eight IDF soldiers were killed. The bodies of the abducted soldiers, Sgt.-Maj. (res.) Ehud Goldwasser and 1st Sgt. (res.) Eldad Regev, were returned on July 16th 2008. In response to the attack, the IDF targeted Hezbollah headquarters in Lebanon, as well as the Beirut International Airport, implemented an air and naval blockade and followed with a ground invasion of southern Lebanon.
During the war, which lasted between July 12th and August 14th, the Hezbollah deliberately targeted the Israeli civilian population, launching over 4000 rockets at densely populated areas, killing 44 and wounding over 600. In addition, 121 Israeli soldiers were killed and 450 were wounded. The Hezbollah relied upon a sizeable arsenal, which included over 1000 long-range rockets, over 13,000 short-range rockets, aerial units, naval units and guerilla ground forces with anti-tank capabilities.
The IDF response included the deployment of approximately 10,000 soldiers to Lebanon, 18,800 aerial sorties, the firing of over 120,000 artillery shells and naval shelling. Over 600 Hezbollah terrorists were killed and the Hezbollah infrastructure, including 15,000 structures used by the organization, was severely damaged. During the war, the IDF successfully coordinated 800 relief convoys and 613 aerial, ground and naval evacuations. On August 12th, UNSCR 1701 was accepted, leading to a ceasefire and the ultimate end of the war. The resolution called for the full cessation of hostilities, delineated the area between the Blue Line and the Litani River as a buffer zone, free of “armed personnel, assets and weapons other than those of the Government of Lebanon and of UNIFIL”. In addition, the maximum size of the force was expanded to 15,000.
Three Years Later
General
Three years after the Second Lebanon War, the Hezbollah continues to be influenced by the aftermath of the war. The organization's status within Lebanon, as both a political and a military entity, established itself as a significantly influential figure.
Functioning as a remote extension of the radical camp led by Iran, the military recuperation process, which focuses on both qualitative and quantitative expansion, has provided the organization with an arsenal larger than many countries. This has given the Hezbollah sophisticated and long-reaching capabilities in both northern and southern Lebanon, in direct contradiction with UNSCR 1701. It has repeatedly displayed its intent to remain a policy-shaper in the state, going as far as turning its weapons against the Lebanese Army in May of 2008. The subsequent Doha Accords provided it with "Blocking Third" capabilities in the government. In the June 2009 elections, the Hezbollah failed to muster up the same degree of support; the moderate March 14th faction won 71 out of the 128 seats. That said, lacking accomplishments on the ground, this remains confined to the symbolic realm alone.
Force Build-up
Following the Second Lebanon War, the Hezbollah intensified its force build-up program. It has amassed extremely large amounts of weapons in both northern and southern Lebanon, including:
Northern Lebanon |
Southern Lebanon |
Hundreds of 220mm (70km) and 302mm (115km) rockets |
At least 20,000 40km rockets |
Several hundred Faajr5(75km) |
Hundreds of anti-tank launcher and missiles |
Possible dozens of Zilzal (250km) rockets |
Dozens of advanced ATGMs |
Dozens of UAVs |
Hundreds to thousands of IEDS |
Dozens of C-802 coastal missiles |
Hundreds of anti-aircraft missile and guns | |
This considerable arsenal places a large part of Israel within the ranges of the Hezbollah; a particularly worrying fact given the Hezbollah's doctrine, of targeting civilians.
In addition, the missiles which boast longer ranges, such as the Zilzal rocket (250km), are capable of reaching Israeli territory even if shot from well within northern Lebanon.
122 mm // 20 km (12 miles) |
Fajar 3 // 43 km (26 miles) |
Fajar 5 // 75 km (46 miles) |
Zilzal // 250 km (155 miles) | | |
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